Forecasting the Effect of Credit Utilization Rate on Inflation Volatility in Turkey

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dc.contributor.authorAltunöz, Utku
dc.date.accessioned2025-03-23T19:16:32Z
dc.date.available2025-03-23T19:16:32Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentSinop Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractThe aim of this study is to analyze the effect of credit utilization on inflation volatility in the context of commercial and consumer loans in Turkey, which is an example for developing countries. In the study, the relations between these two variables are tested for the 2005–2020 period in Turkey, which has been struggling with the inflation problem for many years. In this context, the effects of consumer and commercial loans used in Turkey, as well as consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) inflation rates on the volatility were examined by ARCH, GARCH, E-GARCH models. Consumer loan utilization rates it has been determined that inflation rates increase the volatility. In other words, it was concluded that the increase in the usage rate of consumer loans in Turkey in the mentioned period caused an inflationary effect on the consumer basis. Also, the utilization rate of commercial loans reduces the volatility of inflation rates. That means that the increase in the use of commercial loans increases the real money supply by decreasing the money demand in the economy. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2024.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/978-3-031-64140-4_12
dc.identifier.endpage230
dc.identifier.issn2364-5067
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85212124662
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ4
dc.identifier.startpage209
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-64140-4_12
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11486/4103
dc.identifier.volume30
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.institutionauthorAltunöz, Utku
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSpringer Science and Business Media B.V.
dc.relation.ispartofEurasian Studies in Business and Economics
dc.relation.publicationcategoryKitap Bölümü - Uluslararası
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzKA_Scopus_20250323
dc.subjectARCH
dc.subjectCommercial loans
dc.subjectE-GARCH
dc.subjectGARCH
dc.subjectIndividual loans
dc.subjectInflations
dc.titleForecasting the Effect of Credit Utilization Rate on Inflation Volatility in Turkey
dc.typeBook Part

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