Analysis of temperature and precipitation series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis
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Tarih
2024
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Murat Yakar
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
In this study long-term trend analysis of precipitation and temperature series are determined in the Hirfanli dam basin of Turkey. Data is obtained from the Turkish State Meteorological Service for the period of 1968 to 2017 for Gemerek, Kayseri, Kirsehir, Nevsehir, Sivas and Zara. Mann-Kendall, Spearman's Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis are used for trend analysis with 95% confidence levels. According to the results of the temperature series upward trend were determined. The results of all methods are similar but increasing significant trends were determined by Mann Kendall and Spearman's Rho except Zara. According to the precipitation series results, with decreasing trends in Gemerek, Kirsehir, Nevsehir and Zara, increasing trends were determined in Kayseri and Sivas. The results of Mann Kendall and Spearman's Rho methods show parallelism with each other. Contrary to other methods, Innovative Trend Analysis determined a decreasing trend in Kayseri. As a result of the analysis, the trends in the precipitation series are not significant at the 95% confidence level. In addition to statistical analyzes, evaluations were made in terms of integrated disaster management for drought disaster in the basin with arid climate characteristics. © 2024, Murat Yakar. All rights reserved.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Disaster management, Precipitation, Temperature, Trend analysis
Kaynak
Turkish Journal of Engineering
WoS Q Değeri
Scopus Q Değeri
Q3
Cilt
8
Sayı
1
