Simulation of future forest and land use/cover changes (2019-2039) using the cellular automata-Markov model

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dc.authoridAksoy, Hasan/0000-0003-1980-3834
dc.authoridKAPTAN, Sinan/0000-0001-6059-5163
dc.contributor.authorAksoy, Hasan
dc.contributor.authorKaptan, Sinan
dc.date.accessioned2025-03-23T19:35:09Z
dc.date.available2025-03-23T19:35:09Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.departmentSinop Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractThis study aimed to simulate and assess forest cover and land use/land cover (LULC) changes between 2019 and 2039 using the cellular automata-Markov model. The performance of the model was evaluated by comparing the 2019 simulation map with the 2019 supervised classified map, and it was found to be reliable, with a similarity rate of 85.43%. The LULC analysis and estimates were carried out for a total of six classes: coniferous, broad-leaf, mixed forest, settlement, water and agriculture. Between 1999 and 2019, the areas of total forest increased by 17.4%, settlement by 84.6% and water by 20.1%, whereas the agriculture area decreased by 33.2%. According to 2019-2039 land use/cover simulation results, there were decreases of 2.4% in total forest area and 3.7% in residential and water surface areas, but a 6.9% decrease in the agriculture class. Tracking these changes will contribute to decision making and strategy development efforts of forest planners and managers.
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/10106049.2020.1778102
dc.identifier.endpage1202
dc.identifier.issn1010-6049
dc.identifier.issn1752-0762
dc.identifier.issue4
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85087153212
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage1183
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2020.1778102
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11486/5796
dc.identifier.volume37
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000546968700001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherTaylor & Francis Ltd
dc.relation.ispartofGeocarto International
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzKA_WOS_20250323
dc.subjectForest structure
dc.subjectLULC
dc.subjectCA-Markov
dc.subjectremote sensing
dc.subjectGIS
dc.titleSimulation of future forest and land use/cover changes (2019-2039) using the cellular automata-Markov model
dc.typeArticle

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