Faiz Haddi-Enflasyon Iliskisi ve Türkiye'de Gibson Çeliskisinin Analizi: Keynes-Wicksell ve Fisher Örnegi
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Tarih
2020
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
T.C. Sayistay Baskanligi
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
Iktisat biliminin önemli tartisma konularindan biri enflasyon ile faiz oranlari arasindaki iliskinin varligi ve yönü üzerinedir. Bazi çalismalar enflasyonun faiz artisina neden oldugunu, bazilari da maliyet kaynagi olarak düsündükleri mal ve hizmetler üzerinde fiyat baskisina neden olup enflasyon sorununu ortaya çikardigini öne sürmektedirler. Bu çalismada enflasyon ile faiz oranlari arasinda pozitif iliskinin varligini iddia eden Gibson çeliskisinin Türkiye ekonomisi için analizi amaçlanmaktadir. Bu baglamda çalismada 1995-2019 dönemine ait veriler ARDL sinir testi yaklasimi ile analiz edilmistir. Analiz sonuçlarina göre Türkiye ekonomisinde Gibson çeliskisi varliginin hem Wicksell-Keynes modeli bakimindan hem de Fisher modeli bakimindan geçerli oldugu anlasilmistir. Yapilan nedensellik analizi sonucunda her iki degiskenin birbirinin karsilikli nedeni oldugu sonucuna ulasilmistir.
One of the most important discussion topics of economics is about the existence and direction of the One of the most important discussion topics of economics is about the existence and direction of the relationship between inflation and interest rates. While some studies claim that inflation causes an increase in interest rates, others argue that the interest, which they consider as a source of cost, causes price pressure on goods and services and results in the inflation problem. This study aims to analyze the Gibson paradox, which argues the existence of a positive relationship between inflation and interest rates, in relation to the Turkish economy. In this respect, the data for the period 1995-2019 were analyzed using the ARDL boundary test approach. The results of the analysis indicate that the Gibson paradox is applicable in the Turkish economy on the basis of both Wicksell-Keynes and Fisher models. As a result of the causality analysis, it was concluded that both variables are mutual causes of each other
One of the most important discussion topics of economics is about the existence and direction of the One of the most important discussion topics of economics is about the existence and direction of the relationship between inflation and interest rates. While some studies claim that inflation causes an increase in interest rates, others argue that the interest, which they consider as a source of cost, causes price pressure on goods and services and results in the inflation problem. This study aims to analyze the Gibson paradox, which argues the existence of a positive relationship between inflation and interest rates, in relation to the Turkish economy. In this respect, the data for the period 1995-2019 were analyzed using the ARDL boundary test approach. The results of the analysis indicate that the Gibson paradox is applicable in the Turkish economy on the basis of both Wicksell-Keynes and Fisher models. As a result of the causality analysis, it was concluded that both variables are mutual causes of each other
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Gibson Çeliskisi, Enflasyon ve Faiz Iliskisi, ARDL Yaklasimi.
Kaynak
Sayistay Dergisi
WoS Q Değeri
Scopus Q Değeri
Cilt
Sayı
118
