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Öğe A Computer Assisted Decision Support System for Education Planning(World Scientific Publ Co Pte Ltd, 2021) Alisan, Yigit; Serin, FarukThe advances in technology are eliminating the demand for certain occupations and creating new opportunities. Thus, the universities, teachers, and students have to collaboratively work together to restructure their departments, course offerings, and course contents. Failure to realize the aforementioned initiatives may lead to a loss of quality and competitiveness. This study proposes a decision support system capable of maintaining the quality and competitiveness of the departments and the course offerings. The proposed system consists of three stages. The first stage is the data collection stage. At this stage, data are collected from the internet using web scraping methods. In the second stage, the collected data are turned into meaningful and processable information by natural language processing methods. In the third stage, the alternatives are ranked using multi-criteria decision-making methods. The proposed decision support system provides useful information to several educational stakeholders. First, universities are informed on which departments to create or close as well as the relevant course offerings. Second, information are provided to the teachers to create new courses or shape the course contents. Finally, students are better informed on how to go about choosing the universities, departments, courses, or career paths to pursue. The applicability and reliability of the proposed decision support system were experimentally proven through the use of computer engineering-related job postings and course contents of the universities in Turkey.Öğe Hybrid time series forecasting methods for travel time prediction(Elsevier, 2021) Serin, Faruk; Alisan, Yigit; Kece, AdnanProviding accurate information about travel time to passengers is important in public transportation. In this aspect, the travel time of buses between two consecutive stops can be handled as time series. Then, the future travel time can be predicted using time series forecasting methods. In this study, we propose a novel method with three-layer architecture to predict bus travel time between two stops. In the first layer of the proposed method, initial prediction is made by processing measured data. In the second layer, residuals are predicted in the specified depth. In the third layer, the final prediction is made by integrating the results of two previous layers with three different approach. The experiments were performed on the data, which were obtained from public transportation of Istanbul, using various time series forecasting methods in form of traditional and proposed architecture. The results show that proposed method outperforms traditional approach with approximately MAPE of 6. (C) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Öğe Predicting bus travel time using machine learning methods with three-layer architecture(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2022) Serin, Faruk; Alisan, Yigit; Erturkler, MetinThe increase in population and the crowding of cities bring along transportation problems. Thus, people are directed to public transportation to reduce the burden on transportation. Being informed correctly about the arrival time at the stops attracts passengers. In this study, machine learning methods with three-layer architecture were used to predict bus arrival time. The first layer processes the measured data and gives the prediction results of actual data. In the second layer, the residuals are predicted at the specified depth. In the third layer, the results of the previous two layers are integrated with three different approaches to calculate the final prediction. The case study was carried out on the data obtained from Istanbul public transportation and various machine learning methods were applied to the data using the traditional and the three-layer architecture. The experimental results showed that the three-layer architecture provided successful results with approximately 2.552 MAPE.












